In calculating the premium for a bull CBBC linked to the HSI based on the below formula, we need to determine the underlying price for the HSI. The spot level of the HSI may differ from its estimated future price, because the estimated future price of the HSI is calculated by reference to the sum of the cash value of the HSI (based on the HSI’s spot level) and interest rate, less the expected dividends. In most cases, as the expected dividends would be higher than the interest rate, such estimated future price of the HSI is therefore often lower than the cash value of the HSI’s spot level.
The premium calculated pursuant to the below formula may therefore be different depending on whether you apply (i) the spot level of the HSI as the underlying price, or (ii) the estimated future price of the HSI as the underlying price.
However, as the product price of a CBBC linked to the HSI is generally based on the estimated future price of the HSI futures expiring in 6 months (rather than the spot level of the HSI), such estimated future price should be adopted as the underlying price for calculating the premium of the CBBC. It is therefore likely that the premium calculated based on such lower estimated future price may result in a positive premium, whereas the premium calculated based on the spot level of the HSI may result in a negative premium, using the below formula.
[strike price + (product price x entitlement ratio)] - underlying price
underlying price |
x 100% |